So when it comes to betting strategy, there’s only really one thing that works. The reason for it is based on facts, Maths and probability is the very same reason the bet 365 annual revenue was 2.98 billion in 2019 They’ve got you all looking in the wrong direction You see it doesn’t matter if you pick a winner eight times out of 10 spot a horse with a good turn of foot or even find a football team with new up and coming players. All of these things are what the traditional media will have you focus your attention on. And it’s completely wrong as I’ll prove to you in this week’s Youtube upload. But it’s not all doom and gloom because when you know how betting strategy is incredibly simple especially when you consider all of the tools and technology that’s now available to bettors online.
So in this video, I’m going to explain what makes a successful betting strategy and where you can find value for yourself All the pros know it as fact. The simplest way to explain for an example, imagine A two horse race where both horses are of equal ability. Nothing separates them The law of probability dictates each Horse’s chance of winning is 50% like a coin flip, no matter how many times we rerun the race, that average winning distribution is 50%. Now, why am I telling you this? Because at the core of every successful betting strategy, there’s probability or employed chances. It’s sometimes referred to knowing the employed chance is the most accurate way to gauge if better not of value or not and to be successful, you need value to win. You see it doesn’t matter if you choose the right horse four times out of five.
In the example, if you weren’t getting value the short term results would be random distribution but over the long term you’d lose. It’s a fact. The true payout is in line with probability. This is exactly why bookmakers make so much money. Simple maths. They take the probability of something happening and convert the price into better nods and then offer you a lower one. So to have a successful betting strategy, you must do the complete opposite. It’s the only thing that works. This of course leads us to the most important question. How do you identify value next? I’ll tell you, but before I do, I’d like to ask you a favor If you find this video of, use tap the like button down below and subscribe to this channel, please. So how do you identify value for your betting strategy first, You need to know the implied chance of an outcome or true odds as it’s sometimes referred to.
But this can be a problem as it a complicated task. So I’d suggest a far quicker and easier way that everybody can do Just look at the betting exchanges close to the start is the closest indicator to true odds you’ll find, especially when you learn how to factor in trading volumes. The reason this works is simple wisdom of the crowd, the world documented phenomenon based on the law of averages being close to the event start is also important as it provides the most efficient result with a larger data sample. This is only the first part though it will give you a good indication of true price. Then you need to find a bigger price on that outcome by doing this, you’re massively increase the amount you win, the more you do it, the more you’ll win. A quick example to illustrate that would be if your Selections got 25% chance of winning the odds should be 4.0.
If you get the 20% price even though your bet has a 25% chance of winning, that’s a 5% profit margin over the long term. So if you bear £10 at 4.0 over 100 sample bets, you’ve more than likely break even with 25 winning bets of £40 totaling £1000 return which is of course the same amount you staked in the first place, 100 bets at £10. Now, if we take the same sample and adding our 5% margin, the result is as follows £10 at 5.0 over 100 bets, you get 25 winning bets of £50 totally in return of £1250. But you need to remember you only risked that same £1,000 in the previous example It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to realize that’s £250 value for you. But that’s not all. There’s more to maximizing profit, which is where it gets really interested.
So once you know the true price and find one of value, we move to stake in because that’s another part of the puzzle, that stakes must be relative to value. If there’s a bigger margin state bigger is simple like a business. If you had a product with a bigger margin and there’s opportunity to do so you should work hard to sell more of those items. Doing the opposite is just plain stupid. Remember everything about price not the horse team or player. They’re pretty irrelevant The easiest way to find value is in change. One of my favorite quotes, hits the nail square on the head In times of change, learners inherit the earth while the learned find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with the world that no longer exists, Successful betting strategy is no different sports with fast changing odds are the easiest way to find value.
Horse racing and greyhound are prime examples, particularly in the final 10 minutes before the event starts learning about what moves the price is key in this respect, anticipating a move and being one of the first to exploit. Price is the most reliable betting strategy. You’ll come across an in depth topics. So check out the video courses at Carberry dot com for proper gardens and support The number one thing you don’t want to do is make decisions based on gut feeling or fancy, or even worse, follow a tipster, particularly if they want you to click their link, talking of which check out these two videos that are previously published on this Youtube channel, and don’t forget to subscribe.
