Ante post betting is a practice involving placing wagers on futures or long-term markets at least one day before a sporting event begins. This type of betting is also commonly referred to as long-term, futures, or outrights by online bookmakers. While historically associated primarily with horse racing, ante post markets are now widely available across numerous sports, including football, tennis, and basketball.
The primary draw of ante post betting is the potential to secure better odds for backing a selection ahead of time. Given the uncertainty of events months in advance, the prices offered are typically more generous than those available closer to the event start.
The Value Proposition: Pros and Cons of Ante Post Bets
Before deciding if ante post betting is suitable for your strategy, it is essential to analyze the major benefits and potential drawbacks.
Advantages (Pros)
- Higher Prices & Better Odds: Ante post markets generally offer far higher prices than single matches, allowing bettors to find value odds that can yield significant earnings. For instance, odds for favourites in major horse races like the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe may be released ten months prior, offering high potential returns.
- Bookies’ Mistakes: Since both the bettor and the betting site are attempting to predict outcomes months into the future, the chance of the bookmaker making mistakes in the starting odds is higher than in other betting types.
- Time for Research: Bettors are not under time pressure. They have ample opportunity to analyze data, odds, and possibilities, and to strategically set cash-out points long before the event takes place.
Disadvantages (Cons)
- Difficulty Level: Predicting the outcome of a sporting event scheduled eight months away—or the finish of an entire league season—is inherently difficult. Numerous unpredictable factors, such as injuries, bans, managerial changes, or referee decisions, can impact the result and turn an ante post bet into a loser.
- High Skills Required: To successfully capitalize on ante post odds, bettors must possess the skills necessary to place these long-term wagers. This requires spending significant time analyzing data corresponding to the league, tournament, or race, along with the patience to wait a whole season for potential earnings.
- Bankroll Effect: When an ante post bet is placed, the stake is locked until the conclusion of the event. This money cannot be used on other bets, a factor that can negatively influence a bettor’s bankroll. Furthermore, you lose your stake entirely if your selection does not participate, such as a non-runner in horse racing.
Key Ante Post Betting Rules and Conditions
Standard rules exist among bookmakers, but understanding how wagers are handled under specific conditions is crucial for ante post bettors.
- Non-Runners: If a selection (horse, team, or athlete) does not take part, the bet is lost unless the specific bookmaker offers an insurance guarantee. Some top online betting sites offer a money-back guarantee if a horse or tennis athlete fails to participate. Non-runner insurance, where the stake is refunded if the selection fails to run, is available through some bookies.
- Postponements: If a race is postponed and the runs are declared void without being moved, the bet is returned. If there is a re-run, the wagers are carried forward. However, if leagues or tournaments are interrupted for major reasons (like the Covid-19 pandemic), all futures may become void, and the stake is refunded.
- Cash Out: The cash-out service is generally not available for horse and greyhound races. However, cash-out offers may be received during the course of a long event, such as the English Premier League or a Grand Slam.
- Each Way (E/W) Markets: Placing each way ante post bets offers a layer of safety, allowing you to receive some earnings if your selection finishes from 2nd up to 5th place in top races or elite tennis tournaments.
- Rule 4 Deductions: In all horse racing betting sites, ante post bets are treated as an exception to Rule 4 deductions. This rule, created to protect bookmakers when non-runners occur, does not result in reduced odds for winning ante post wagers.
- Betting Stop Time: For races, ante post rules typically apply until 48 hours before the race in most cases. For other sports, ante post betting stops just before the betting event begins.
Expert Tips for Ante Post Betting by Sport
Bookmakers may open ante post markets weeks, months, or even a year in advance. However, specific strategies apply depending on the sport.
Horse Racing
Ante post betting is immensely popular in horse racing, covering prestigious events like the Grand National and the Cheltenham Festival.
- Thorough Research: It is critical to know your runners well, checking their trial days months in advance. A good strategy is to check qualifying races ahead of time and pick candidates who have secured wins on specific turfs.
- Timing is Key: While markets open early, it is wise to wait for the right time and place your bet closer to the race day, as early bets risk being ruined by injury or poor form.
- Utilize Each Way Bets: In elite races with large fields, like the Grand National, the chances of predicting the winner are slim. Each way bets can increase your profit opportunities if the runner finishes 2nd, 3rd, 4th, or 5th.
Tennis (Individual Sports)
Individual sports like tennis offer excellent opportunities for long-term wins, especially surrounding the four annual Grand Slams.
- Bet Later: Unlike football teams, you are backing only one athlete, meaning injury risks are significant. Since the odds on favorites typically do not change drastically throughout the year, the early risk is often not worth the reward. Patience is advised; wait a few days before a Grand Slam starts.
- Follow the News: Constantly track the athlete’s condition, match results, performance, and stats against competitive opponents. This information is crucial for evaluating each way betting prospects.
- Avoid Excessive Risk: Do not place numerous ante posts simultaneously, as this compounds the long-term risk. It is also generally ill-advised to bet on underdogs, as major tournaments rarely feature upsets, especially against top stars like Nadal or Djokovic.
Football
Football outrights are relatively easier to understand, with the risk spread across a season of over 350 games.
- Exploit Market Variety: Football offers numerous ante post markets beyond the league winner, including top goalscorers, relegation teams, which teams will score/concede the most goals, and best goalkeepers. Take advantage of these diverse futures options.
- Focus on Known Leagues: While elite competitions like the English Premier League and UEFA Champions League are excellent for outrights, you maximize your success by risking outrights on your domestic league where you understand the teams, coaches’ styles, politics, and rivalries in-depth.
- Steer Clear of Huge Favourites: Avoid placing ante post bets on heavyweight favourites with very low odds (e.g., 1.40 or 1.50). Waiting an entire season for such a small payout is generally not recommended, as the odds value often does not justify the time investment.
Conclusion: Is Ante Post Betting the Right Choice?
Ante post betting is characterized by high risk, demanding patience and confidence to wait months for returns. It is often an alternative pursued by occasional bettors looking to chase stunning profits with relatively low stakes.
For those with advanced knowledge of successful sports betting, it is generally simpler to predict a single match outcome and secure earnings than to wait for a full football season to conclude. Furthermore, developing a sufficient staking plan based solely on futures bets is difficult. In summary, ante post betting is best viewed as a complementary strategy for those seeking higher prices by accepting greater long-term risk.
You can find the best ante post sites by seeking out top-rated bookmakers that offer the best outright odds and the broadest range of long-term markets across sports like horse racing, football, tennis, and basketball.